← Advanced Data & KPI Lab

03 / Data & KPI Lab

A lab where new metrics and tools begin

These are not certified KPIs, and not finished products. Some are metrics born to measure Variation Theory; some are tools I want on the touchline, researched and written up before they are built. Revolutionary thoughts sometimes originate from unusual creativity, and creativity is still on its way to establishing a new thing. Each card says how far it has actually got. Newest first — the date is when it was added, or when its write-up last changed.

SM-1 · ResearchDraft

What Comes Out Under Pressure

Escaping a press is a time-budget problem. Count the time the attacker pays himself and the break-even point drops from 0.367 s to 0.20 s — which shows where standardised coaching has to stop.

Brault 2012van den Tillaar 2020Nigg 2017Selinger 2015
Enter→Added 2026-09-21
SM-2 · ResearchDraft

Several Kinds of Football in One Match

The press moved back, one player works in two shapes, blocks are mixed within a match and their height moves 20 m+. Multiplied contexts cannot be filled with more techniques.

FIFA PMSRK League eventsPermutation testHorst 2020
Enter→Added 2026-09-21
SIM · SystemConcept

A tool that evaluates the plan (Simulator)

Four measurements on 48 matches fixed the buildable scope: not predicting what a substitution will do, but scoring whether the declared plan was carried out.

Event dataSplit-half reliabilityLEMPlan adherence
Enter→Added 2026-09-08
HOVI · SystemConcept

The AI sitting next to the manager (HOVI)

I wanted the Iron Man scene. The rules turned out to be already open — and most of the judgements I wanted to hand the AI were not the AI's to make.

IFAB Law 4.4EPTSSemantic layerLLM routing
Enter→Added 2026-08-28
Dual-View · ToolDraft

The manager speaks during the match (Dual-View)

Hearing one line from the touchline and cutting the moment that just passed, from two angles. Six stages built, one verified — 8 ms sync error.

Multi-anchor syncIn-play detectionSTTTactical tagging
Enter→Updated 2026-08-28
JWC · CombinationDraft

Win Contribution (JWC)

Baseball has WAR. Football does not. Building one that does not simply reward whoever scored.

WARxTVAEPPSxG
Enter→Added 2026-08-15
3-3 · Re-applicationConcept

Formation Mutation Frequency

How often does the shape actually change?

PN
Enter→Updated 2026-07-26
S-5 · Re-applicationConcept

Single-Node Dependency Index

How much does the team run through one man, this season?

PN
Enter→Updated 2026-07-26
2-2 · CombinationDraft

DLB → RFT Conversion

Does a line-break actually reach a dangerous reception?

DLBRFT
Enter→Updated 2026-07-26
3-2 · Re-applicationDraft

Reverse PPDA

PPDA read from the attacking side.

PPDA
Enter→Updated 2026-07-26
E-2 · Theory-derivedDraft

Attacking-Channel Entropy

How evenly unpredictable are the attacking channels?

PP
Enter→Updated 2026-07-26
E-4 · Theory-derivedDraft

Final-Third Receiver Entropy

Is there a fixed reference point to defend?

RFT
Enter→Updated 2026-07-26
C-1 · Theory-derivedConcept

Comfort Zone Deviation Index

How far does a player's real map stray from the position's average?

PN
Enter→Added 2026-07-21
C-2 · Theory-derivedConcept

Signature Move Pressure Differential

Does the Signature Move survive a real press?

PPDAOBV
Enter→Added 2026-07-21
C-3 · Theory-derivedConcept

Mutation × Signature Move Double-Buffering Index

What happens when a mutation and a Signature Move fire at once?

VAEPPN
Enter→Added 2026-07-21
E-1 · Theory-derivedConcept

Spatial/Movement Entropy

How unpredictable is the team's positioning, full stop?

PN
Enter→Added 2026-07-21
2-4 · CombinationConcept

Field Tilt × xT Gap

Territory without teeth, or teeth without territory?

FTxT
Enter→Added 2026-07-21
2-5 · CombinationConcept

VAEP–OBV Divergence

How much of a player's value is really the team's?

VAEPOBV
Enter→Added 2026-07-21
M-4 · Re-applicationConcept

Season-Scale DLB Timing Variance

Does the team's line-break timing scatter more as the season wears on?

DLB
Enter→Added 2026-07-21
2-3 · Re-applicationDraft

xT Spike-Timing Deviation

Can the opponent predict when the danger lands?

xT
Enter→Added 2026-07-09
S-1 · Re-applicationConcept

Match xT Variance

The low-then-spike signature, at season scale.

xT
Enter→Added 2026-07-09
S-2 · CombinationConcept

Plan-A Completion Rate

How often does the full attacking cycle complete?

DLBRFT
Enter→Added 2026-07-09
S-3 · Theory-derivedConcept

Scoring-Pattern Entropy

How varied are the ways goals arrive?

PSxG
Enter→Added 2026-07-09
S-4 · Re-applicationConcept

Tactical-Response Diversity

How many answers to how many setups?

PN
Enter→Added 2026-07-09
M-1 · Re-applicationConcept

xT Spike-Frequency Trend

Are the spikes getting more frequent over seasons?

xT
Enter→Added 2026-07-09
M-2 · Re-applicationConcept

Pass-Network Dispersion Trend

Is the shape getting harder to pre-scout?

PN
Enter→Added 2026-07-09
M-3 · CombinationConcept

New-Signing Adaptation Window

How fast do new players reach the system's output?

VAEP
Enter→Added 2026-07-09